Budesca 114 Report post Posted December 19, 2017 (edited) Good News Everyone !!! The Christmas event is here !! For event details check the event thread: http://l2classic.club/forum/topic/17816-christmas-event-spree/ I did an experiment by opening 3000 Santa's Girl Gift Pouch in three tries of 1000 pouch each. The results are the following: Type Reward 1 Try 2 Try 3 Try Chance (%) Estimation (%) Estimation by type (%) Consumeables Quick Helaing Potion 91 88 99 9,267 9 Consumeables (15%) Blessed Scroll of Escape 12 16 13 1,367 1,5 Blessed Scroll of Resurrection 14 17 20 1,700 1,5 Snow Flake 29 27 19 2,500 3 Buff Scrolls Magic Barrier 37 26 36 3,300 3 Buff Scrolls (46%) Wind Walk 36 35 25 3,200 3 Shield 39 35 28 3,400 3 Empower 29 38 26 3,100 3 Acumen 27 28 23 2,600 3 Berseker 30 30 30 3,000 3 Bless the Soul 25 29 30 2,800 3 Might 31 36 35 3,400 3 Death Wisper 32 26 36 3,133 3 Focus 19 29 26 2,467 3 Haste 38 27 34 3,300 3 Vampiric Rage 30 29 31 3,000 3 Bless the Body 26 29 35 3,000 3 Guidance 33 24 30 2,900 3 Clarity 26 20 14 2,000 2 Wild Magic 15 20 24 1,967 2 Buff Packs Mage Buff Pack 18 11 13 1,400 1,5 Buff Packs (6%) Fighter Buff Pack 6 15 17 1,267 1,5 1 Class Buff Scroll 14 20 18 1,733 2 2 Class Buff Scroll 8 9 8 0,833 1 Enchants Enchant Armor D 15 11 18 1,467 1,5 Enchants (3,9%) Enchant Armor C 8 15 9 1,067 1 Enchant Armor B 5 5 5 0,500 0,5 Enchant Weapon D 8 2 5 0,500 0,5 Enchant Weapon C 2 4 4 0,333 0,3 Enchant Weapon B 0 2 0 0,067 0,1 Other types Small Firecracker 157 140 151 14,933 15 Other types (29,1%) Large Firecracker 101 106 107 10,467 10 Proof of Blood x10 33 37 25 3,167 3 Sealed Rune lvl 1 5 13 4 0,733 1 Refined Romantic Chapeau 1 1 2 0,133 0,1 Total 1000 1000 1000 100,000 100 PD: Take care with your inventory because if it is full or you got more than 90% weight you may loose the items. Good News Everyone ! I talked with Santa Claus and he gived to me some Special Santa's Gift Pouch! You can see the results in the following table: Type Reward 1 Try 2 Try 3 Try 4 Try Chance (%) Estimation (%) Estimation by type (%) XP/SP Scrolls XP/SP: Low (30%) 70 74 23 230 12,348 12 XP/SP Scrolls (37%) XP/SP: Normal (50%) 58 55 44 174 10,295 10 XP/SP: Medium (70%) 46 37 53 115 7,807 8 XP/SP: High (100%) 29 33 73 92 7,061 7 Improved Enchants Improved armor D 21 25 21 102 5,257 5 Improved Enchants (24%) Improved armor C 29 19 24 102 5,412 5 Improved armor B 22 37 28 78 5,132 5 Improved weapon D 22 19 16 61 3,670 3,5 Improved weapon C 18 20 17 61 3,608 3,5 Improved weapon B 12 12 16 33 2,271 2 Aesthetic Items Silver Cloack 1 3 2 8 0,435 0,4 Aesthetic Items (3%) Golden Cloack 1 2 0 3 0,187 0,2 Holiday Circlet 9 4 6 23 1,306 1,4 Agathion Fairy Spirit 4 3 7 20 1,058 1 Other Types Sealed Rune x3 11 14 20 52 3,017 3 Other Types (36%) Class Buff Scroll x2 147 143 150 561 31,135 33 Total 500 500 500 1715 100,000 100 PD: Being good or bad does not afect the rewards. PD2: Take care with weight and slots aviable. If you got 90% weight or 90% of slots full (71/80 for a normal char) you will loose the pouch and get nothing. PD3: Thanks to all the Staff of this server. This work could not be made without his help and quick response. Edited December 21, 2017 by Budesca 4 1 Quote Share this post Link to post
FryderykChopin 853 Report post Posted December 19, 2017 Outstanding work, good job and thanks! Quote Share this post Link to post
Budesca 114 Report post Posted December 19, 2017 (edited) Good News Everyone ! I talked with Santa Claus and he gived to me some Special Santa's Gift Pouch! You can see the results in the following table: Type Reward 1 Try 2 Try 3 Try 4 Try Chance (%) Estimation (%) Estimation by type (%) XP/SP Scrolls XP/SP: Low (30%) 70 74 23 230 12,348 12 XP/SP Scrolls (37%) XP/SP: Normal (50%) 58 55 44 174 10,295 10 XP/SP: Medium (70%) 46 37 53 115 7,807 8 XP/SP: High (100%) 29 33 73 92 7,061 7 Improved Enchants Improved armor D 21 25 21 102 5,257 5 Improved Enchants (24%) Improved armor C 29 19 24 102 5,412 5 Improved armor B 22 37 28 78 5,132 5 Improved weapon D 22 19 16 61 3,670 3,5 Improved weapon C 18 20 17 61 3,608 3,5 Improved weapon B 12 12 16 33 2,271 2 Aesthetic Items Silver Cloack 1 3 2 8 0,435 0,4 Aesthetic Items (3%) Golden Cloack 1 2 0 3 0,187 0,2 Holiday Circlet 9 4 6 23 1,306 1,4 Agathion Fairy Spirit 4 3 7 20 1,058 1 Other Types Sealed Rune x3 11 14 20 52 3,017 3 Other Types (36%) Class Buff Scroll x2 147 143 150 561 31,135 33 Total 500 500 500 1715 100,000 100 PD: Being good or bad does not afect the rewards. PD2: Take realy care with weight and slots aviable. If you got 90% weight or 90% of slots full (71/80 for a normal char) you will loose the pouch and get nothing. PD3: Thanks to all the Staff of this server. This work could not be made without his help and quick response. Edited December 19, 2017 by Budesca 2 1 1 Quote Share this post Link to post
FryderykChopin 853 Report post Posted December 19, 2017 1 hour ago, Budesca said: Aesthetic Items (3%) Damn, kinda thought the chance would be higher... Sometimes ignorance is bliss But anyway great work again. 1 Quote Share this post Link to post
kktnxbye 215 Report post Posted December 19, 2017 (edited) 4 hours ago, FryderykChopin said: Couldn't agree more on that one... Anyway right now in AH there's just one +10 aliexpress homu and no +9 mage guns at all so it doesn't look all too bad imo - I remember it used to be filled with +10++ guns daily... But some official statement on whether the spawning has stopped or not would be nice. Anyway I don't like how we're hijacking @Budesca's great topic Availability of ++ guns is dependent of our server state and political situation. When some side is leaving - we have a lot of ++ on the market\rmt shops. BTW I doubt that enchants will help newbies to catch up. It will help them got their c\b grade for sure, but who will buy and use all these improved enchants?- top clans who have money for that. Also - all this enchants will pretty fck up our mages. Fighter weapons are pretty easy to make 10+. Thats why almost every archers 70+ in serious clans have at least bop +8. BOP prices went down to 80kk, while demon+12 price is still the same 650-750kk (thats because we dont have new +12 demons on the server). Look at emi bows++ and bops++ - their qty is increasing every month. Only emi+16 we already have at least 8 . Imagine how many BOPs +10-16 we will have now with reduced bop prices and 66% chance to enchant? Do we have the same qty of SOES++? It's 2 on whole server max+8 as I know. Now think about thousands eab and hundreds ewb from oly every month. Whom do you think it will benefit the most? Yep , all will make cheap BOPs> enchant them with cheap ewb to 8-10 and make 12-16 with improved ewb. But w\e - all this disbalance between enchat rates for magic and fighter weapons will be compensated with vop+sirena+reneval (SOON(C)) Edited December 19, 2017 by kktnxbye 2 Quote Share this post Link to post
JerrySM 329 Report post Posted December 20, 2017 (edited) 500 Special Santa's Gift Pouch = 500 (x) 30 Santa's Girl Gift Pouch (x) 5 parts (x) 40,000/1 = 3,000,000 (3kkk) ??? really???? Edited December 20, 2017 by JerrySM Quote Share this post Link to post
Anytime 556 Report post Posted December 20, 2017 that moment when your dreams about that golden cloak are destroyed ... 3 Quote Share this post Link to post
ErKy 29 Report post Posted December 20, 2017 3 hours ago, Anytime said: that moment when your dreams about that golden cloak are destroyed ... Quote Share this post Link to post
Stiba007 225 Report post Posted December 20, 2017 11 hours ago, JerrySM said: 500 Special Santa's Gift Pouch = 500 (x) 30 Santa's Girl Gift Pouch (x) 5 parts (x) 40,000/1 = 3,000,000 (3kkk) ??? really???? or King of bots??? 0 adena. Who know? Sant0?? Very curious...... Quote Share this post Link to post
JerrySM 329 Report post Posted December 20, 2017 1 hour ago, Stiba007 said: or King of bots??? 0 adena. Who know? Sant0?? Very curious...... Taking Aden for Cloak is better than paying 3kkk ) Quote Share this post Link to post
Koll 1233 Report post Posted December 21, 2017 1) Event is not over, even in first day people got this Cloaks. 2) This is not our first and not last event, so there will be more, maybe not with this Cloaks, but with another. So just continue playing Quote Share this post Link to post
San0 2423 Report post Posted December 21, 2017 or maybe he made this on test server Quote Share this post Link to post